If you’re giving a team a 1/3 chance to win a WS before the season even starts then you don’t understand how baseball works
kneeco28
So virtually all sports bettors don’t know what they’re doing and are setting money on fire? I’m shocked!
turnstile2243
Only 32%??
Due-Stretch2568
👀👀👀👀I would go with a conservative 20%especially given last years world series
JohnnyMulan
Honestly. A 9% chance for the next team is crazy. I don’t think people understand that while the dodgers have dominated they have not had an easy way to or at the WS (except 2024 WS)
Toronto damn near took last year’s WS away from them going 7 games. You can’t just automatically assume the season is “Over” and the dodgers are just gonna take it all again.
Odds are crazy sometimes lol.
tung_twista
Wrong.
If you directly convert the American odds to percentage, then yes, Dodgers are at 32%.
However, if you do that, then all the clubs’ WS win percentages are going to add up to 150%.
So normalizing these to account for oddsmakers’ profit margins, Dodgers implied WS win probability is 21%, not 32%.
fauxbigbro
So goddamn sick of sports gambling being forced everywhere.
realfakejames
1 in 3 odds is hilarious for baseball, never mind that they that had to win back to back games on the road to win the last World Series with improbable plays and all-time goat performances from Yamagoato
Vegas odds are not made by experts either, it’s just the bookmakers trying to make money and insulate casinos from losses, it’s why the 2011 Mavs entered the nba finals as historic underdogs despite winning the most games in the regular season that year and sweeping the defending champion lakers
ras5003
## 💰
Rpcouv
Mariners at 3 tells you everything you need to know about how realistic any of this is. It’s not at all.
smelgibson
Wonder what the odds would be if we added Kurt Angle to the mix?
ISMToolbag
What happens when we add Kurt Angle into the mix?
IThinkTheClockIsSlow
Last time a team won three WS in a row was 98-00 Yankees. Before that was Oakland 72-74. So you either think a threepeat is due or that it’s harder now. I lean towards harder given pitcher injuries.
13 Comments
If you’re giving a team a 1/3 chance to win a WS before the season even starts then you don’t understand how baseball works
So virtually all sports bettors don’t know what they’re doing and are setting money on fire? I’m shocked!
Only 32%??
👀👀👀👀I would go with a conservative 20%especially given last years world series
Honestly. A 9% chance for the next team is crazy. I don’t think people understand that while the dodgers have dominated they have not had an easy way to or at the WS (except 2024 WS)
Toronto damn near took last year’s WS away from them going 7 games. You can’t just automatically assume the season is “Over” and the dodgers are just gonna take it all again.
Odds are crazy sometimes lol.
Wrong.
If you directly convert the American odds to percentage, then yes, Dodgers are at 32%.
However, if you do that, then all the clubs’ WS win percentages are going to add up to 150%.
So normalizing these to account for oddsmakers’ profit margins, Dodgers implied WS win probability is 21%, not 32%.
So goddamn sick of sports gambling being forced everywhere.
1 in 3 odds is hilarious for baseball, never mind that they that had to win back to back games on the road to win the last World Series with improbable plays and all-time goat performances from Yamagoato
Vegas odds are not made by experts either, it’s just the bookmakers trying to make money and insulate casinos from losses, it’s why the 2011 Mavs entered the nba finals as historic underdogs despite winning the most games in the regular season that year and sweeping the defending champion lakers
## 💰
Mariners at 3 tells you everything you need to know about how realistic any of this is. It’s not at all.
Wonder what the odds would be if we added Kurt Angle to the mix?
What happens when we add Kurt Angle into the mix?
Last time a team won three WS in a row was 98-00 Yankees. Before that was Oakland 72-74. So you either think a threepeat is due or that it’s harder now. I lean towards harder given pitcher injuries.